According to Pew Research, in 2016, Trump’s biggest supporters were in the age group 50 and older. 51% of the 50 to 64 age group and 53% of the 65 and older age group voted for him.
Current voting data from Georgia (reported by U.S. Elections Project) shows that 62% of the votes, as of October 16, are from the 56 and above age group. Further, progressive media has been relying on the fact that the influx of young voters registering in Georgia are going to be key in potentially flipping the red state blue. To date, just 4.4% of the 18 to 24 age group has voted.
These numbers are concerning. Harvard Youth Poll done earlier this year indicates that 63% of Americans age 18-29 say they will “definitely be voting”. However, so far, we do not see this at the (Georgia) polls. Maybe, it is time for the phone banks to target this age group, because without the young votes the prospect of a blue wave looks dismal.
A recent CNN poll from early October shows that Biden has taken a double-digit lead over Trump in the 65 and up voters, however the swing states seem to be anomalies, and the gap narrows in these states. Although encouraging this should be taken cautiously considering the margin of error and the CNN poll does not account for the 50 to 64 age group.
We see similar trends in voter turnout in other swing states (Vote4Progress will address this in subsequent days). What can we do? We need to mobilize and motivate the young people to go vote. Talk to your kids and reinforce the importance of action; being passionate about issues is great, but unless you act on it no change is possible. It is imperative that the “intent to vote” be converted to real votes.